Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 15:45
Groningen
12 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 20%
Away 60%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1684 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index DDWLL v WWWDW Groningen 1.0 · PSV Eindhoven 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1684 vs 1501).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenDDWLL1.0 ppg
PSV EindhovenWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1501
PSV Eindhoven1684
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 26% · 55%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning10% · 9% · 81%

AI match preview

Groningen hosts PSV Eindhoven in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win at 60% probability, reflecting PSV's stronger expected performance. Despite this, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, supported by closely matched expected goals of 0.96 for Groningen and 1.76 for PSV. With a slight edge towards both teams scoring (53%) and just over a 50% chance for more than 2.5 goals, this game promises a competitive encounter—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Groningen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
Aug 2025 PSV Eindhoven 4–2 Groningen