Nijmegen vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Wed 11 Feb, 20:00
Nijmegen
13 Full time
Utrecht
Nijmegen 1–3 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 21%
Away 18%

💡 Nijmegen are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1601 v 1478 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index DWWWW v LLLDL Nijmegen 2.6 · Utrecht 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nijmegen v Utrecht

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1601 vs 1478).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenDWWWW2.6 ppg
UtrechtLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1601
Utrecht1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model66% · 19% · 15%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning68% · 22% · 10%

AI match preview

Nijmegen enters this Eredivisie clash with a 61% chance of securing a home win against Utrecht, backed by a strong expected goals advantage of 2.57 to 1.22. The model suggests a competitive encounter, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 and a 73% probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. Additionally, both teams scoring is projected at 66%, indicating an open game, though all predictions are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.57 – 1.22

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Nijmegen 1–3 Utrecht
Nov 2025 Utrecht 1–0 Nijmegen