Groningen vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 14 Feb, 20:00
Groningen
12 Full time
Utrecht
Groningen 1–2 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Groningen are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1494 v 1503 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v LLDLW Groningen 0.8 · Utrecht 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Groningen v Utrecht

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1494 vs 1503).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Groningen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenDWLLL0.8 ppg
UtrechtLLDLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1494
Utrecht1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 30% · 26%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning42% · 22% · 36%

AI match preview

Groningen hosts Utrecht in what looks to be a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 47% probability. The expected goals suggest a tight match, with a 1-1 draw being the most likely scoreline despite Groningen’s marginal advantage. Both teams have a 51% chance of scoring, while the probability of over 2.5 goals remains below 50%, indicating a potentially balanced and competitive encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Groningen 1–2 Utrecht
Sept 2025 Utrecht 0–1 Groningen