Sparta Rotterdam vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Tue 17 Feb, 19:00
Sparta Rotterdam
11 Full time
Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Nijmegen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 23%
Away 45%

💡 Nijmegen have a slight edge — leaning Nijmegen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1576 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index WWWWD v WWWWL Sparta Rotterdam 2.6 · Nijmegen 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sparta Rotterdam v Nijmegen

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1576 vs 1514).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.5 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Sparta Rotterdam
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Sparta Rotterdam

Green = favours Sparta Rotterdam · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sparta RotterdamWWWWD2.6 ppg
NijmegenWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam1514
Nijmegen1576
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 21% · 60%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning20% · 10% · 70%

AI match preview

Sparta Rotterdam host Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance of victory, slightly edging out a home win at 33%. The model projects a competitive match with an expected scoreline of 1-2 and a strong probability (74%) of over 2.5 goals, alongside a 70% chance both teams will score. These projections suggest an open game, but remember, all predictions are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 2.45

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Nijmegen
Nov 2025 Nijmegen 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam