PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 17:45
PSV Eindhoven
31 Full time
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Heerenveen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 16%
Away 12%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1675 v 1514 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v LDLWW PSV Eindhoven 2.0 · Heerenveen 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1675 vs 1514).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
PSV Eindhoven

Green = favours PSV Eindhoven · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PSV EindhovenWDWWL2.0 ppg
HeerenveenLDLWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven1675
Heerenveen1514
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 18% · 18%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning73% · 23% · 4%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven enters this Eredivisie clash as strong favorites with a 71% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.79 compared to Heerenveen's 1.53. The model suggests a competitive encounter, most likely ending 2-1, with an 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance both teams will score. Remember, these projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered as probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.79 – 1.53

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 80%

Under 20%

Both teams to score

Yes 74%

No 26%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Philips Stadion Eindhoven, Netherlands Capacity 35,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Heerenveen
Dec 2025 Heerenveen 0–2 PSV Eindhoven