Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 28 Feb, 17:45
Heracles
13 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles 1–3 PSV Eindhoven

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (75%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 14%
Away 75%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 91.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 91.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1374 v 1682 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index LWLLL v DWWLW Heracles 0.6 · PSV Eindhoven 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heracles v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1682 vs 1374).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (3.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesLWLLL0.6 ppg
PSV EindhovenDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1374
PSV Eindhoven1682
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 12% · 80%
Power Rating17% · 12% · 71%
Machine-learning10% · 13% · 77%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven heads to Heracles as strong favorites, with a 75% probability of securing an away win according to the model, which projects a 3.48 expected goals tally for the visitors. The match is likely to be high-scoring, with an 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% likelihood that both teams will find the net, suggesting an open game. The most probable scoreline is 3-1 in favor of PSV, but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.17 – 3.48

Most likely score

1-3

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 84%

Under 16%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Heracles 1–3 PSV Eindhoven
Dec 2025 PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Heracles