Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 11:15
Zwolle
00 Full time
Ajax
Zwolle 0–0 Ajax

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 24%
Away 48%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1580 Ajax rated higher
Form Index LWLLD v WDDWD Zwolle 0.8 · Ajax 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Zwolle v Ajax

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1452).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Zwolle

Green = favours Zwolle · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ZwolleLWLLD0.8 ppg
AjaxWDDWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Zwolle1452
Ajax1580
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 25% · 46%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 46%
Machine-learning28% · 28% · 44%

AI match preview

Zwolle host Ajax in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a 48% chance of victory, though the model also suggests a competitive encounter with a 28% chance for a home win and 24% for a draw. Expected goals favor Ajax slightly at 1.88 against Zwolle’s 1.47, with a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% likelihood both teams will score, pointing to an open and potentially high-scoring game. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, highlighting the tight nature of this match despite Ajax’s edge; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.88

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Zwolle 0–0 Ajax
Sept 2025 Ajax 3–1 Zwolle