Volendam vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 13:30
Volendam
32 Full time
Groningen
Volendam 3–2 Groningen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 24%
Away 43%

💡 Groningen have a slight edge — leaning Groningen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1445 v 1474 Groningen rated higher
Form Index LDWWL v LLLLL Volendam 1.4 · Groningen 0.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Volendam v Groningen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1445 vs 1474).
  • Volendam is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Groningen
Form Index
Volendam
Goal expectation
Volendam
Home advantage
Volendam

Green = favours Volendam · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VolendamLDWWL1.4 ppg
GroningenLLLLL0.0 ppg
Power Rating
Volendam1445
Groningen1474
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 29% · 27%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning31% · 14% · 55%

AI match preview

Volendam hosts Groningen in an Eredivisie clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, though the model also suggests a closely contested encounter. Expected goals lean towards a narrow margin, with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline and a moderate likelihood for both teams to score. With nearly even odds for over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 53%, this match could see moments of attacking play but remains finely balanced—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Volendam 3–2 Groningen
Dec 2025 Groningen 3–0 Volendam