Excelsior vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 7 Mar, 20:00
Excelsior
12 Full time
Heerenveen
Excelsior 1–2 Heerenveen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 26%
Away 41%

💡 Heerenveen have a slight edge — leaning Heerenveen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1516 Heerenveen rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v LWWLW Excelsior 0.8 · Heerenveen 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Heerenveen

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Why we predict this

  • Heerenveen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1516 vs 1438).
  • Heerenveen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heerenveen
Form Index
Heerenveen
Goal expectation
Heerenveen
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorDWLLL0.8 ppg
HeerenveenLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1438
Heerenveen1516
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 30% · 41%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning34% · 22% · 43%

AI match preview

Excelsior host Heerenveen in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 41%, though the confidence level sits at a modest 43/100. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, reflecting balanced attacking potential on both sides. With just under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match could offer competitive and open play—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Excelsior 1–2 Heerenveen
Oct 2025 Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior