Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Fri 13 Mar, 19:00
Zwolle
11 Full time
Groningen
Zwolle 1–1 Groningen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 27%
Away 35%

💡 Zwolle have a slight edge — leaning Zwolle, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1483 Groningen rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1458 vs 1483).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Groningen
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Zwolle
Home advantage
Zwolle

Green = favours Zwolle · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ZwolleLLDDD0.6 ppg
GroningenLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Zwolle1458
Groningen1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 31% · 31%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning42% · 29% · 29%

AI match preview

Zwolle and Groningen are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% probability, while a draw and away win remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals are tight, 1.30 for Zwolle and 1.14 for Groningen, suggesting a competitive match likely to see goals from both teams, as reflected in the 51% BTTS chance and a 44% likelihood of over 2.5 goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, but as always, these projections are based on statistical models—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Zwolle 1–1 Groningen
Nov 2025 Groningen 2–2 Zwolle