Heracles vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Fri 20 Mar, 19:00
Heracles
11 Full time
Excelsior
Heracles 1–1 Excelsior

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 28%
Away 34%

💡 Heracles have a slight edge — leaning Heracles, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1360 v 1422 Excelsior rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Excelsior is the stronger side on Power Rating (1422 vs 1360).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Excelsior
Form Index
Excelsior
Goal expectation
Heracles
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesLLLDL0.2 ppg
ExcelsiorLLLLL0 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1360
Excelsior1422
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 25% · 33%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning40% · 31% · 29%

AI match preview

Heracles host Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 38%, though a draw or away victory remain close possibilities. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 69% chance of BTTS and a 68% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, pointing to an open and competitive match. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, reflecting a tightly contested game—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.62

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Heracles 1–1 Excelsior
Nov 2025 Excelsior 1–2 Heracles