Nijmegen vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 22 Mar, 11:15
Nijmegen
22 Full time
Heerenveen
Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 23%
Away 21%

💡 Nijmegen are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1589 v 1539 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1589 vs 1539).
  • Heerenveen is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Heerenveen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenDDLWW1.6 ppg
HeerenveenWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1589
Heerenveen1539
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 21% · 25%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning60% · 34% · 6%

AI match preview

Nijmegen holds a 57% probability of securing a home win against Heerenveen, with the model predicting a competitive 2-1 scoreline. The expected goals suggest an open game, favoring the hosts at 2.41 to 1.63, while there's a strong chance (77%) the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 74% likelihood both teams will score. These projections highlight potential outcomes but remember to gamble responsibly—these are statistical estimates, and nothing is guaranteed (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.41 – 1.63

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 77%

Under 23%

Both teams to score

Yes 74%

No 26%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen
Sept 2025 Heerenveen 3–2 Nijmegen