Excelsior vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 4 Apr, 21:00
Excelsior
02 Full time
Nijmegen
Excelsior 0–2 Nijmegen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (56%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 21%
Away 56%

💡 Nijmegen are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1586 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1422).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLLLD0.2 ppg
NijmegenDLWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1422
Nijmegen1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 23% · 58%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning14% · 11% · 75%

AI match preview

Excelsior hosts Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a 56% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw or home win appear less likely at 21% and 24% respectively. The match is expected to be fairly open with an anticipated 1.13 goals for Excelsior and 2.07 for Nijmegen, making over 2.5 goals and both teams to score plausible outcomes. Despite the away win being the favored result, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, highlighting the unpredictability inherent in football—these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 2.07

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Excelsior 0–2 Nijmegen
Aug 2025 Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior