NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 5 Apr, 16:45
NAC Breda
00 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 26%
Away 35%

💡 NAC Breda have a slight edge — leaning NAC Breda, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1397 v 1487 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on NAC Breda v Sparta Rotterdam

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Why we predict this

  • Sparta Rotterdam is the stronger side on Power Rating (1487 vs 1397).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
NAC Breda
Home advantage
NAC Breda

Green = favours NAC Breda · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NAC BredaWLDLL0.8 ppg
Sparta RotterdamLLDLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
NAC Breda1397
Sparta Rotterdam1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 28% · 35%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning37% · 20% · 43%

AI match preview

NAC Breda and Sparta Rotterdam are poised for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 40%, while a draw and away win stand at 26% and 35% respectively. Both teams are projected to score nearly equally, reflected in an expected goals tally of 1.45 to 1.39 and a most likely scoreline of 1-1, suggesting a competitive encounter. With a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.39

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 NAC Breda 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam
Dec 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 NAC Breda