Zwolle vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 14:30
Zwolle
22 Full time
Excelsior
Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 28%

💡 Zwolle are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1410 Zwolle rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Zwolle v Excelsior

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1446 vs 1410).
  • Zwolle is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Zwolle
Form Index
Zwolle
Goal expectation
Zwolle
Home advantage
Zwolle

Green = favours Zwolle · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ZwolleDDDWL1.2 ppg
ExcelsiorLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Zwolle1446
Excelsior1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 29% · 24%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning53% · 24% · 23%

AI match preview

Zwolle hosts Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, though a draw remains a notable possibility at 25%. The model predicts a tight contest with expected goals favoring Zwolle 1.51 to 1.01, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With both teams showing a 51% probability for goals at both ends and under 50% chance of over 2.5 goals, this matchup could be closely contested—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior
Dec 2025 Excelsior 2–1 Zwolle