Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Wed 22 Apr, 20:00
Telstar
41 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 25%
Away 30%

💡 Telstar have a slight edge — leaning Telstar, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1447 v 1474 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1447 vs 1474).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Telstar
Goal expectation
Telstar
Home advantage
Telstar

Green = favours Telstar · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TelstarWLWLL1.2 ppg
Sparta RotterdamDLWDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Telstar1447
Sparta Rotterdam1474
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 26% · 35%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning50% · 25% · 25%

AI match preview

Telstar hosts Sparta Rotterdam in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 45%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals are closely matched (1.64 vs. 1.54), suggesting a tight contest with a 1-1 scoreline as the most probable result. With a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Telstar 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Telstar