Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Thu 23 Apr, 18:45
Go Ahead Eagles
00 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 25%
Away 31%

💡 Go Ahead Eagles have a slight edge — leaning Go Ahead Eagles, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1487 v 1526 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Go Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1487 vs 1526).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
Go Ahead Eagles
Home advantage
Go Ahead Eagles

Green = favours Go Ahead Eagles · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Go Ahead EaglesLWLWD1.4 ppg
AZ AlkmaarLWLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Go Ahead Eagles1487
AZ Alkmaar1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 25% · 22%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning41% · 25% · 34%

AI match preview

Go Ahead Eagles host AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 44%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game with 1.94 for the Eagles and 1.20 for AZ, aligning with the most likely score of 1-1. With a 61% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
Dec 2025 AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles