Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 12:15
Excelsior
50 Full time
Utrecht
Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 26%
Away 45%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1413 v 1561 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Utrecht

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1413).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLDLD0.4 ppg
UtrechtDWWLW2 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1413
Utrecht1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 30% · 48%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning30% · 30% · 40%

AI match preview

Excelsior hosts Utrecht in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 45%, though a draw or home victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 0.94 for Excelsior and 1.48 for Utrecht, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With under 2.5 goals and just under half the matches seeing both teams scoring, this game could be closely contested; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht
Aug 2025 Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior