Utrecht vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 16:30
Utrecht
20 Full time
NAC Breda
Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 21%
Away 18%

💡 Utrecht are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1389 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1389).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours NAC Breda. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtWWLWL1.8 ppg
NAC BredaLLDDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1533
NAC Breda1389
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model68% · 22% · 10%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning66% · 19% · 15%

AI match preview

Utrecht enters this Eredivisie clash with a 61% probability of securing a home win against NAC Breda, who stand at an 18% chance of victory. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.96 for Utrecht and 0.62 for NAC Breda, suggesting a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome. With just a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a closely contested match; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.62

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda
Dec 2025 NAC Breda 1–1 Utrecht