AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 16:45
AZ Alkmaar
22 Full time
Twente
AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 25%
Away 35%

💡 AZ Alkmaar have a slight edge — leaning AZ Alkmaar, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1526 v 1592 Twente rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Twente

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Why we predict this

  • Twente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1592 vs 1526).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Twente
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Twente
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Twente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarWLWWD2.0 ppg
TwenteLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1526
Twente1592
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 26% · 42%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning44% · 26% · 30%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar and Twente are poised for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 39%, though a draw or away victory remain strong possibilities. The expected goals suggest an open game with both sides likely to find the net, as reflected in the 66% probability for BTTS and a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals. The most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, but fans should remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente
Nov 2025 Twente 1–0 AZ Alkmaar