Ajax vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 16:45
Ajax
12 Full time
Utrecht
Ajax 1–2 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 23%
Away 21%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1585 v 1541 Ajax rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajax v Utrecht

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1585 vs 1541).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxDLWWD1.6 ppg
UtrechtWLWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1585
Utrecht1541
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 25% · 19%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning54% · 29% · 17%

AI match preview

Ajax enter this Eredivisie clash with a 56% chance of securing a home victory against Utrecht, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.87 to 1.01 in their favor. Despite this, the model suggests a 23% probability of a draw, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline, indicating a potentially tight encounter. With both teams having a 55% chance of scoring and the match slightly favoring over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging contest, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass
Overcast · 13.9°C
Feels like 9.5°C Wind 23 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Ajax 1–2 Utrecht
Nov 2025 Utrecht 2–1 Ajax