Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 16:45
Feyenoord
11 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord 1–1 AZ Alkmaar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 23%
Away 24%

💡 Feyenoord are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1526 Feyenoord rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Feyenoord is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1526).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Feyenoord
Form Index
Feyenoord
Goal expectation
Feyenoord
Home advantage
Feyenoord

Green = favours Feyenoord · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FeyenoordDDDWW1.8 ppg
AZ AlkmaarLWWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Feyenoord1581
AZ Alkmaar1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 24% · 21%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning59% · 26% · 15%

AI match preview

Feyenoord hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 52%, with a 60% confidence level. Despite this, the most likely score is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter with expected goals at 1.97 for Feyenoord and 1.16 for AZ. With a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

De Kuip Rotterdam, Netherlands Capacity 47,500 · grass
Overcast · 16.4°C
Feels like 12.5°C Wind 19 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Feyenoord 1–1 AZ Alkmaar
Sept 2025 AZ Alkmaar 3–3 Feyenoord