Groningen vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 16:45
Groningen
21 Full time
Nijmegen
Groningen 2–1 Nijmegen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 23%
Away 45%

💡 Nijmegen are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1591 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1591 vs 1490).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenWWDLL1.4 ppg
NijmegenDWDDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1490
Nijmegen1591
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 26% · 41%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning19% · 10% · 71%

AI match preview

Groningen host Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 45%, though a home victory or draw remain well within reach. Both sides are projected to score, with a 64% probability of BTTS and an expected goals tally suggesting a competitive encounter likely ending around 1-1. Over 2.5 goals is also a strong possibility at 61%, indicating an open game with attacking intent from both teams. These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.66

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Groningen 2–1 Nijmegen
Nov 2025 Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen