Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 14:30
Heerenveen
00 Full time
Ajax
Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 24%
Away 42%

💡 Ajax have a slight edge — leaning Ajax, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1532 v 1571 Ajax rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heerenveen v Ajax

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1532 vs 1571).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Heerenveen
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Heerenveen

Green = favours Heerenveen · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeerenveenWLWWL1.8 ppg
AjaxLWWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Heerenveen1532
Ajax1571
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 24% · 42%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning41% · 23% · 36%

AI match preview

Heerenveen host Ajax in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 42% chance of winning, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 24%. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a projected 1.73 goals for Heerenveen and 1.94 for Ajax, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% chance of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open and competitive game; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.94

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 72%

No 28%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax
Nov 2025 Ajax 1–1 Heerenveen