Gil Vicente vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 15:30
Gil Vicente
21 Full time
Nacional
Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 24%
Away 20%

💡 Gil Vicente are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1545 v 1462 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index DDDDD v LWDLD Gil Vicente 1.0 · Nacional 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Gil Vicente v Nacional

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1545 vs 1462).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Gil Vicente

Green = favours Gil Vicente · Blue = favours Nacional. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Gil VicenteDDDDD1.0 ppg
NacionalLWDLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Gil Vicente1545
Nacional1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 37% · 25%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning73% · 14% · 14%

AI match preview

Gil Vicente holds a 56% chance of securing a home victory against Nacional in this Primeira Liga clash, with the model predicting a tight contest likely to produce around one goal for the hosts and three-quarters of a goal for the visitors. Despite the home edge, the most probable scoreline is a goalless draw, reflecting a potentially cautious battle between the sides. With only a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% likelihood of both teams scoring, expect a closely fought encounter—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.00 – 0.75

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional
Aug 2025 Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente