AVS vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 18:00
AVS
01 Full time
Arouca
AVS 0–1 Arouca

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 29%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1347 v 1404 Arouca rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v LWDDL AVS 0.2 · Arouca 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AVS v Arouca

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Why we predict this

  • Arouca is the stronger side on Power Rating (1404 vs 1347).
  • Arouca is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arouca
Form Index
Arouca
Goal expectation
AVS
Home advantage
AVS

Green = favours AVS · Blue = favours Arouca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AVSLLDLL0.2 ppg
AroucaLWDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
AVS1347
Arouca1404
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 26% · 35%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning19% · 33% · 48%

AI match preview

AVS and Arouca are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors at 37% versus 34% for the home side. A draw is the most probable outcome according to the pick, supported by an expected balanced goal tally of 1.64 to 1.53 and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Fans can also anticipate an engaging match with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability of both teams scoring; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.53

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 AVS 0–1 Arouca
Aug 2025 Arouca 3–1 AVS