Rio Ave vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 20:30
Rio Ave
02 Full time
Benfica
Rio Ave 0–2 Benfica

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (65%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 22%
Away 65%

💡 Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 77.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1480 v 1628 Benfica rated higher
Form Index WLDLW v DWWDW Rio Ave 1.4 · Benfica 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rio Ave v Benfica

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Why we predict this

  • Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1628 vs 1480).
  • Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Benfica
Form Index
Benfica
Goal expectation
Benfica
Home advantage
Rio Ave

Green = favours Rio Ave · Blue = favours Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rio AveWLDLW1.4 ppg
BenficaDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Rio Ave1480
Benfica1628
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 19% · 73%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning5% · 39% · 55%

AI match preview

Benfica enter their Primeira Liga clash at Rio Ave as strong favorites with a 65% chance of victory, backed by a model confidence of 77.3/100. The expected goals projection suggests Benfica could score around 2.3 goals compared to Rio Ave’s 0.67, with a 0-2 scoreline deemed most likely. While there's a moderate 57% probability for over 2.5 goals, only 45% expect both teams to score; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 2.30

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Rio Ave 0–2 Benfica
Sept 2025 Benfica 1–1 Rio Ave