Tondela vs Sp Braga Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 18:00
Tondela
01 Full time
Sp Braga
Tondela 0–1 Sp Braga

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 16%
Draw 24%
Away 60%

💡 Sp Braga are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1555 Sp Braga rated higher
Form Index LLLWL v WWLDD Tondela 0.6 · Sp Braga 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tondela v Sp Braga

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Why we predict this

  • Sp Braga is the stronger side on Power Rating (1555 vs 1410).
  • Sp Braga is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Braga
Form Index
Sp Braga
Goal expectation
Sp Braga
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours Sp Braga. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaLLLWL0.6 ppg
Sp BragaWWLDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1410
Sp Braga1555
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 24% · 63%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning5% · 32% · 63%

AI match preview

Tondela faces a tough challenge at home against Sp Braga, with the model favoring an away win at 60% probability and a confidence rating of 69.3 out of 100. The expected goals suggest Braga will likely outscore Tondela 1.96 to 0.83, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. While over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are close to even chances, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.96

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Tondela 0–1 Sp Braga
Aug 2025 Sp Braga 3–0 Tondela