Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 20:30
Guimaraes
01 Full time
Porto
Guimaraes 0–1 Porto

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 22%
Away 64%

💡 Porto are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1677 Porto rated higher
Form Index DWLDW v WWWWW Guimaraes 1.6 · Porto 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Guimaraes v Porto

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Porto is the stronger side on Power Rating (1677 vs 1493).
  • Porto is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Porto
Form Index
Porto
Goal expectation
Porto
Home advantage
Guimaraes

Green = favours Guimaraes · Blue = favours Porto. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GuimaraesDWLDW1.6 ppg
PortoWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Guimaraes1493
Porto1677
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model7% · 19% · 74%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning3% · 31% · 66%

AI match preview

Porto enter this Primeira Liga clash against Guimaraes as clear favorites, with a 64% chance of an away win and a strong confidence rating of 75.7 out of 100. The model projects a 0.57 to 2.18 expected goals ratio, suggesting Porto are likely to edge a 2-0 victory. While over 2.5 goals has a moderate 52% probability, both teams scoring sits lower at 40%; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.57 – 2.18

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Guimaraes 0–1 Porto
Aug 2025 Porto 3–0 Guimaraes