Estrela vs Estoril Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 19 Jan, 20:15
Estrela
05 Full time
Estoril
Estrela 0–5 Estoril

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 28%
Away 35%

💡 Estrela have a slight edge — leaning Estrela, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1497 Estoril rated higher
Form Index WLDWD v DLWWL Estrela 1.6 · Estoril 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estrela v Estoril

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1485 vs 1497).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril
Form Index
Estrela
Goal expectation
Estrela
Home advantage
Estrela

Green = favours Estrela · Blue = favours Estoril. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstrelaWLDWD1.6 ppg
EstorilDLWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Estrela1485
Estoril1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 24% · 26%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning25% · 37% · 38%

AI match preview

Estrela and Estoril are set for a tightly contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 37%, closely matched by Estoril at 35%, and a 28% chance of a draw. The expected goals tally favors Estrela at 1.96 compared to 1.40 for Estoril, suggesting a moderately open game with a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance both teams will score. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Estrela 0–5 Estoril
Aug 2025 Estoril 1–1 Estrela