Estoril vs Guimaraes Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 20:30
Estoril
42 Full time
Guimaraes
Estoril 4–2 Guimaraes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 27%
Away 27%

💡 Estoril are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1522 v 1486 Estoril rated higher
Form Index LWWLW v WLDWL Estoril 1.8 · Guimaraes 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estoril v Guimaraes

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1522 vs 1486).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril
Form Index
Estoril
Goal expectation
Estoril
Home advantage
Estoril

Green = favours Estoril · Blue = favours Guimaraes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstorilLWWLW1.8 ppg
GuimaraesWLDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Estoril1522
Guimaraes1486
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 29% · 16%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning49% · 34% · 16%

AI match preview

Estoril holds a slight edge in this Primeira Liga clash with a 45% chance of securing a home victory, while Guimaraes and a draw each share a 27% probability. The match is projected to be low-scoring, with an expected 1.5 goals for Estoril against 0.71 for Guimaraes, and a 1-0 scoreline is the most likely outcome. With only a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% probability for both teams to score, this contest could hinge on tight defensive play—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 0.71

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Estoril 4–2 Guimaraes
Aug 2025 Guimaraes 3–2 Estoril