Tondela vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 1 Feb, 20:30
Tondela
00 Full time
Benfica
Tondela 0–0 Benfica

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (72%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 10%
Draw 18%
Away 72%

💡 Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 86.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1391 v 1649 Benfica rated higher
Form Index LWLLL v WDWWW Tondela 0.6 · Benfica 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tondela v Benfica

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Why we predict this

  • Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1649 vs 1391).
  • Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Benfica
Form Index
Benfica
Goal expectation
Benfica
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaLWLLL0.6 ppg
BenficaWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1391
Benfica1649
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model5% · 18% · 77%
Power Rating22% · 12% · 66%
Machine-learning1% · 26% · 73%

AI match preview

Benfica are strong favorites to claim victory at Tondela with a 72% chance, as projected by the model, while a draw or home win remain less likely outcomes. The expected goals tally suggests Benfica could net around two goals, with Tondela scoring less than half a goal on average, pointing to a probable 0-2 scoreline. Keep in mind these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.40 – 2.11

Most likely score

0-2

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 30%

No 70%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Tondela 0–0 Benfica
Aug 2025 Benfica 3–0 Tondela