Estrela vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 15:30
Estrela
10 Full time
Santa Clara
Estrela 1–0 Santa Clara

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 30%
Away 38%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1428 Estrela rated higher
Form Index WDLLD v LDLLL Estrela 1.0 · Santa Clara 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estrela v Santa Clara

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1454 vs 1428).
  • Estrela is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estrela
Form Index
Estrela
Goal expectation
Estrela
Home advantage
Estrela

Green = favours Estrela · Blue = favours Santa Clara. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstrelaWDLLD1.0 ppg
Santa ClaraLDLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Estrela1454
Santa Clara1428
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 31% · 30%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning34% · 41% · 25%

AI match preview

Estrela hosts Santa Clara in a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38%, while a draw holds a 30% probability and is our pick with moderate confidence. Both teams are projected to score, reflected in a 51% chance for BTTS and an expected balanced 1.31 to 1.12 goals. With just a 44% probability for over 2.5 goals, a tight 1-1 draw appears the most likely outcome, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Estrela 1–0 Santa Clara
Aug 2025 Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela