Moreirense vs Gil Vicente Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 15:30
Moreirense
12 Full time
Gil Vicente
Moreirense 1–2 Gil Vicente

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 33%
Away 40%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 42.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1560 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index WWLWL v DDWLW Moreirense 1.8 · Gil Vicente 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Moreirense v Gil Vicente

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1501).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Moreirense
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Moreirense

Green = favours Moreirense · Blue = favours Gil Vicente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MoreirenseWWLWL1.8 ppg
Gil VicenteDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Moreirense1501
Gil Vicente1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 32% · 37%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning15% · 48% · 37%

AI match preview

Moreirense and Gil Vicente are set for a tightly contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 40% but assigning the highest probability to a draw at 33%. Both teams are projected to score around one goal each, leading to a most likely 1-1 scoreline, while the chances of both teams finding the net stand at 47%. Over 2.5 goals looks less probable at 39%, suggesting a moderately paced game; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Moreirense 1–2 Gil Vicente
Aug 2025 Gil Vicente 2–0 Moreirense