Santa Clara vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Fri 13 Feb, 18:30
Santa Clara
12 Full time
Benfica
Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 14%
Draw 23%
Away 64%

💡 Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1420 v 1648 Benfica rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v WWWDW Santa Clara 0.2 · Benfica 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1648 vs 1420).
  • Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Benfica
Form Index
Benfica
Goal expectation
Benfica
Home advantage
Santa Clara

Green = favours Santa Clara · Blue = favours Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Santa ClaraDLLLL0.2 ppg
BenficaWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Santa Clara1420
Benfica1648
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 27% · 65%
Power Rating25% · 12% · 63%
Machine-learning2% · 24% · 74%

AI match preview

Benfica enter this Primeira Liga clash against Santa Clara as clear favorites, with a 64% chance of an away win according to the model, while a draw holds a 23% probability and a home victory just 14%. The expected goals suggest a tight game, with Benfica likely edging it 1-0 as the most probable scoreline, and a relatively low chance of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals. These projections offer insight into the statistical probabilities for this fixture, but please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.42 – 1.57

Most likely score

0-1

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 28%

No 72%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica
Sept 2025 Benfica 1–1 Santa Clara