Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 14 Feb, 18:00
Guimaraes
21 Full time
Estrela
Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 26%
Away 22%

💡 Guimaraes are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1462 Guimaraes rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v DLLDW Guimaraes 1.2 · Estrela 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Guimaraes v Estrela

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1473 vs 1462).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Guimaraes
Form Index
Guimaraes
Goal expectation
Guimaraes
Home advantage
Guimaraes

Green = favours Guimaraes · Blue = favours Estrela. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GuimaraesWLLWL1.2 ppg
EstrelaDLLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Guimaraes1473
Estrela1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 27% · 24%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning37% · 33% · 30%

AI match preview

Guimaraes holds a slight edge at 52% to claim victory over Estrela in this Primeira Liga encounter, with a 26% chance of a draw and a 22% likelihood of an away win. The expected goals suggest a competitive match with 1.74 for the home side and 1.14 for the visitors, pointing toward a probable 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 58%, fans can anticipate an engaging contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela
Sept 2025 Estrela 0–2 Guimaraes