Rio Ave vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 16 Feb, 20:15
Rio Ave
12 Full time
Moreirense
Rio Ave 1–2 Moreirense

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 30%
Away 42%

💡 Moreirense have a slight edge — leaning Moreirense, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1489 Moreirense rated higher
Form Index WLLLL v WLWLL Rio Ave 0.6 · Moreirense 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rio Ave v Moreirense

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Why we predict this

  • Moreirense is the stronger side on Power Rating (1489 vs 1417).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Moreirense
Form Index
Moreirense
Goal expectation
Moreirense
Home advantage
Rio Ave

Green = favours Rio Ave · Blue = favours Moreirense. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rio AveWLLLL0.6 ppg
MoreirenseWLWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Rio Ave1417
Moreirense1489
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 29% · 46%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning16% · 39% · 45%

AI match preview

Rio Ave host Moreirense in a closely contested Primeira Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw is also quite probable at 30%. The expected goals suggest a tight game with both sides likely to find the net, reflected in the most probable 1-1 scoreline and a 53% chance of BTTS. With just under a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match could be finely balanced, so remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Rio Ave 1–2 Moreirense
Sept 2025 Moreirense 3–1 Rio Ave