Benfica vs AVS Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 18:00
Benfica
30 Full time
AVS
Benfica 3–0 AVS

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (87%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 87%
Draw 9%
Away 4%

💡 Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 9 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1654 v 1350 Benfica rated higher
Form Index WWDWW v LDLLW Benfica 2.6 · AVS 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Benfica v AVS

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Why we predict this

  • Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1654 vs 1350).
  • Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Benfica
Form Index
Benfica
Goal expectation
Benfica
Home advantage
Benfica

Green = favours Benfica · Blue = favours AVS. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BenficaWWDWW2.6 ppg
AVSLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Benfica1654
AVS1350
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model91% · 7% · 2%
Power Rating79% · 12% · 9%
Machine-learning98% · 2% · 1%

AI match preview

Benfica enter this Primeira Liga clash as clear favorites with an 87% chance of securing a home win, backed by a high confidence rating of 95/100. The model projects a dominant 3-0 victory with expected goals heavily favoring Benfica at 3.85 compared to AVS's 0.60, and an 82% probability of over 2.5 goals scored. While the likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 45%, these projections are statistical estimates—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.85 – 0.60

Most likely score

3-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 82%

Under 18%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Benfica 3–0 AVS
Sept 2025 AVS 0–3 Benfica