Moreirense vs Sp Lisbon Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 18:00
Moreirense
03 Full time
Sp Lisbon
Moreirense 0–3 Sp Lisbon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (68%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 20%
Away 68%

💡 Sp Lisbon are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 81.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1500 v 1675 Sp Lisbon rated higher
Form Index LWLLW v WWWDW Moreirense 1.2 · Sp Lisbon 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Moreirense v Sp Lisbon

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Why we predict this

  • Sp Lisbon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1675 vs 1500).
  • Sp Lisbon is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Lisbon
Form Index
Sp Lisbon
Goal expectation
Sp Lisbon
Home advantage
Moreirense

Green = favours Moreirense · Blue = favours Sp Lisbon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MoreirenseLWLLW1.2 ppg
Sp LisbonWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Moreirense1500
Sp Lisbon1675
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 24% · 62%
Power Rating29% · 17% · 54%
Machine-learning3% · 28% · 69%

AI match preview

Moreirense face a tough challenge at home against Sp Lisbon, with the model giving the visitors a 68% chance to win and a confidence level of 81.8/100. Despite this, the expected goals suggest a modest scoring game, with a predicted 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. Fans can also anticipate a moderately balanced match in terms of goals, with just over half the simulations favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.98

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Moreirense 0–3 Sp Lisbon
Sept 2025 Sp Lisbon 3–0 Moreirense