Sp Braga vs Guimaraes Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 20:30
Sp Braga
32 Full time
Guimaraes
Sp Braga 3–2 Guimaraes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 20%
Away 14%

💡 Sp Braga are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 78.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1586 v 1482 Sp Braga rated higher
Form Index WWWWL v LLWLW Sp Braga 2.4 · Guimaraes 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sp Braga v Guimaraes

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Why we predict this

  • Sp Braga is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1482).
  • Sp Braga is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Braga
Form Index
Sp Braga
Goal expectation
Sp Braga
Home advantage
Sp Braga

Green = favours Sp Braga · Blue = favours Guimaraes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sp BragaWWWWL2.4 ppg
GuimaraesLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sp Braga1586
Guimaraes1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model73% · 20% · 8%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning72% · 21% · 7%

AI match preview

Sp Braga enter this Primeira Liga clash with a strong 66% chance of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.15 compared to Guimaraes' 0.59. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with just over half the matches going over 2.5 goals and a 40% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections highlight Sp Braga's advantage, but as always, outcomes can vary—please enjoy responsibly and gamble only if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.15 – 0.59

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sp Braga 3–2 Guimaraes
Sept 2025 Guimaraes 1–1 Sp Braga