Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Mon 23 Feb, 20:15
Famalicao
20 Full time
Casa Pia
Famalicao 2–0 Casa Pia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 22%
Away 17%

💡 Famalicao are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1442 Famalicao rated higher
Form Index WWLWL v LDWDW Famalicao 1.8 · Casa Pia 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Famalicao v Casa Pia

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Why we predict this

  • Famalicao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1512 vs 1442).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Famalicao
Form Index
Famalicao
Goal expectation
Famalicao
Home advantage
Famalicao

Green = favours Famalicao · Blue = favours Casa Pia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FamalicaoWWLWL1.8 ppg
Casa PiaLDWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Famalicao1512
Casa Pia1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 23% · 12%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning63% · 19% · 18%

AI match preview

Famalicao enter this Primeira Liga clash with a strong 61% probability of securing a home win against Casa Pia, backed by a confidence rating of 72/100. The model projects an expected goal tally of 1.94 for Famalicao compared to 0.72 for Casa Pia, with a 2-0 scoreline emerging as the most likely outcome. While the chance of over 2.5 goals stands at 50%, both teams scoring is less probable at 45%; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.94 – 0.72

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Famalicao 2–0 Casa Pia
Sept 2025 Casa Pia 1–1 Famalicao