Sp Lisbon vs Estoril Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Fri 27 Feb, 20:45
Sp Lisbon
30 Full time
Estoril
Sp Lisbon 3–0 Estoril

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (79%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 79%
Draw 12%
Away 9%

💡 Sp Lisbon are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1688 v 1532 Sp Lisbon rated higher
Form Index WWDWW v WWDLW Sp Lisbon 2.6 · Estoril 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sp Lisbon v Estoril

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Sp Lisbon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1688 vs 1532).
  • Sp Lisbon is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Lisbon
Form Index
Sp Lisbon
Goal expectation
Sp Lisbon
Home advantage
Sp Lisbon

Green = favours Sp Lisbon · Blue = favours Estoril. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sp LisbonWWDWW2.6 ppg
EstorilWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sp Lisbon1688
Estoril1532
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model85% · 10% · 4%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning82% · 10% · 8%

AI match preview

Sp Lisbon enters this Primeira Liga clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 79% probability of securing a home win against Estoril. The model projects a dominant performance with an expected scoreline of 3-0, supported by a high chance (78%) of the match producing over 2.5 goals. While both teams scoring is slightly more balanced at 51%, these projections highlight Sp Lisbon as the clear favorite; remember to consider these as probabilities and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.35 – 0.75

Most likely score

3-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 78%

Under 22%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sp Lisbon 3–0 Estoril
Sept 2025 Estoril 0–1 Sp Lisbon