Tondela vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 15:30
Tondela
22 Full time
Santa Clara
Tondela 2–2 Santa Clara

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 33%
Away 34%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (33%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 34.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 34.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1424 v 1417 Tondela rated higher
Form Index LDDDW v LLLLD Tondela 1.2 · Santa Clara 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1424 vs 1417).
  • Tondela is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Tondela
Goal expectation
Santa Clara
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours Santa Clara. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaLDDDW1.2 ppg
Santa ClaraLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1424
Santa Clara1417
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 39% · 34%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning28% · 44% · 28%

AI match preview

Tondela and Santa Clara face off in what the model projects as a tightly contested Primeira Liga clash, with a slight lean towards an away win at 34%, but a draw remains equally plausible at 33%. Both sides are expected to produce a low-scoring affair, with the most likely outcome being a 0-0 stalemate and a modest 22% chance of more than 2.5 goals. Given the 32% probability of both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a cautious match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.75 – 0.85

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 22%

Under 78%

Both teams to score

Yes 32%

No 68%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Tondela 2–2 Santa Clara
Sept 2025 Santa Clara 1–2 Tondela