Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 7 Mar, 20:30
Estoril
00 Full time
Casa Pia
Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Estoril are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1524 v 1431 Estoril rated higher
Form Index WDLWL v WDWLD Estoril 1.4 · Casa Pia 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estoril v Casa Pia

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Estoril is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1431).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril
Form Index
Casa Pia
Goal expectation
Estoril
Home advantage
Estoril

Green = favours Estoril · Blue = favours Casa Pia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstorilWDLWL1.4 ppg
Casa PiaWDWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Estoril1524
Casa Pia1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model66% · 20% · 14%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning71% · 16% · 13%

AI match preview

Estoril enter this Primeira Liga clash with a 60% chance of securing a home win against Casa Pia, supported by a confidence rating of 71/100. The model projects a 2-1 scoreline, with expected goals favoring Estoril at 2.38 to Casa Pia's 1.03, and a 66% probability of the match seeing over 2.5 goals. Additionally, both teams scoring is likely with a 59% chance, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.38 – 1.03

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia
Oct 2025 Casa Pia 2–2 Estoril