Estrela vs Gil Vicente Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 15:30
Estrela
22 Full time
Gil Vicente
Estrela 2–2 Gil Vicente

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 29%
Away 48%

💡 Gil Vicente are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1554 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index DWLLD v WWWLL Estrela 1.0 · Gil Vicente 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estrela v Gil Vicente

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1554 vs 1431).
  • Gil Vicente is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Gil Vicente
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Estrela

Green = favours Estrela · Blue = favours Gil Vicente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstrelaDWLLD1.0 ppg
Gil VicenteWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Estrela1431
Gil Vicente1554
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 29% · 49%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning8% · 42% · 50%

AI match preview

Estrela hosts Gil Vicente in a Primeira Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win with a 48% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The expected goals suggest a moderately contested match, with a 1-1 scoreline being the most likely outcome despite the away side's slight edge. With only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams will score, this game could hinge on tight margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Estrela 2–2 Gil Vicente
Oct 2025 Gil Vicente 2–0 Estrela