Santa Clara vs Guimaraes Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 20:30
Santa Clara
20 Full time
Guimaraes
Santa Clara 2–0 Guimaraes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 31%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1419 v 1473 Guimaraes rated higher
Form Index LLLDD v WLWLD Santa Clara 0.4 · Guimaraes 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Guimaraes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1473 vs 1419).
  • Guimaraes is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Guimaraes
Form Index
Guimaraes
Goal expectation
Santa Clara
Home advantage
Santa Clara

Green = favours Santa Clara · Blue = favours Guimaraes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Santa ClaraLLLDD0.4 ppg
GuimaraesWLWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Santa Clara1419
Guimaraes1473
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 34% · 29%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning26% · 31% · 44%

AI match preview

Santa Clara and Guimaraes are poised for a tightly contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side (36%) but also highlighting a strong probability for a draw (31%). Both teams are expected to score close to one goal each, with a 1-1 draw emerging as the most likely scoreline. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance for both teams to score, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical and to be used responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.08 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Santa Clara 2–0 Guimaraes
Oct 2025 Guimaraes 2–1 Santa Clara