Benfica vs Guimaraes Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 18:00
Benfica
30 Full time
Guimaraes
Benfica 3–0 Guimaraes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (79%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 79%
Draw 13%
Away 8%

💡 Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1673 v 1446 Benfica rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1673 vs 1446).
  • Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Benfica
Form Index
Benfica
Goal expectation
Benfica
Home advantage
Benfica

Green = favours Benfica · Blue = favours Guimaraes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BenficaWWWDW2.6 ppg
GuimaraesWLDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Benfica1673
Guimaraes1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model76% · 17% · 7%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning92% · 6% · 3%

AI match preview

Benfica enters this Primeira Liga clash with a strong 79% probability of securing a home win against Guimaraes, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.45 compared to 0.64 for the visitors. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a 60% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring is less likely at 44%. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.45 – 0.64

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Benfica 3–0 Guimaraes
Nov 2025 Guimaraes 0–3 Benfica