Tondela vs AVS Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 20:30
Tondela
00 Full time
AVS
Tondela 0–0 AVS

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 24%
Away 21%

💡 Tondela are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1408 v 1341 Tondela rated higher
Form Index DDWDL v WLDDL Tondela 1.2 · AVS 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tondela v AVS

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Tondela is the stronger side on Power Rating (1408 vs 1341).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Tondela
Form Index
Tondela
Goal expectation
Tondela
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours AVS. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaDDWDL1.2 ppg
AVSWLDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1408
AVS1341
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 30% · 20%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning63% · 19% · 17%

AI match preview

Tondela enters this Primeira Liga clash with a 54% chance to secure a home win against AVS, who have a 21% probability of taking the points. The model projects a moderately low-scoring affair, with an expected goals tally of 1.46 for Tondela and 0.82 for AVS, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the home win pick. With only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% probability of both teams scoring, fans can expect a closely contested match; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 0.82

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Tondela 0–0 AVS
Nov 2025 AVS 2–2 Tondela