Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Sun 22 Mar, 15:30
Estoril
12 Full time
Rio Ave
Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 20%
Away 20%

💡 Estoril are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1530 v 1428 Estoril rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estoril v Rio Ave

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Why we predict this

  • Estoril is the stronger side on Power Rating (1530 vs 1428).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Estoril
Home advantage
Estoril

Green = favours Estoril · Blue = favours Rio Ave. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EstorilLWLDW1.4 ppg
Rio AveLLDWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Estoril1530
Rio Ave1428
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 21% · 16%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning73% · 15% · 12%

AI match preview

Estoril holds a strong 60% chance of securing a home win against Rio Ave in this Primeira Liga clash, with the model projecting a 2-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome. The expected goals tally favors Estoril at 2.27 to Rio Ave’s 1.12, suggesting an open game with a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance both teams will score. These projections offer insight based on statistical data—please remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.12

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave
Nov 2025 Rio Ave 0–4 Estoril