Sp Lisbon vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga 25/26 · Fri 3 Apr, 21:30
Sp Lisbon
42 Full time
Santa Clara
Sp Lisbon 4–2 Santa Clara

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (77%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 77%
Draw 15%
Away 8%

💡 Sp Lisbon are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 94.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 94.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1706 v 1458 Sp Lisbon rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sp Lisbon v Santa Clara

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Sp Lisbon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1706 vs 1458).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sp Lisbon
Form Index
Sp Lisbon
Goal expectation
Sp Lisbon
Home advantage
Sp Lisbon

Green = favours Sp Lisbon · Blue = favours Santa Clara. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sp LisbonWWWDW2.6 ppg
Santa ClaraDDWWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sp Lisbon1706
Santa Clara1458
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model82% · 14% · 3%
Power Rating76% · 12% · 13%
Machine-learning97% · 2% · 1%

AI match preview

Sp Lisbon enters this Primeira Liga clash as strong favorites with a 77% chance of securing a home win, backed by a high confidence rating of 94/100. The model anticipates a comfortable 2-0 victory, reflecting expected goals of 2.42 for Sp Lisbon against just 0.38 for Santa Clara, while the probability of both teams scoring remains low at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 53%, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please enjoy responsibly and gamble only if you’re 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.42 – 0.38

Most likely score

2-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Sp Lisbon 4–2 Santa Clara
Nov 2025 Santa Clara 1–2 Sp Lisbon